Archive for July, 2012

Harmful Silage Gases

(7/31/12)  Doctor Bob Charley points out some things to look for to avoid the dangers of harmful silage gases.

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California Producers Disappointed in 4b Concession

(July 27, 2012) DairyLine spoke with Rob Vandenheuvel of the Milk Producers Council regarding CDFA’s announcement that they will not be changing the whey factor in the Class 4b milk pricing formula. Listen Here:

In an announcement released July 20, a California Department of Food & Agriculture (CDFA) panel recommended no change in the whey factor in the Class 4b milk pricing formula. However, CDFA secretary Karen Ross gave the state’s dairy producers a small concession, increasing the cap on the whey factor by 10¢/cwt., effective Aug. 1. She also announced formation of a task force to look into California’s milk pricing system.

The action follows a May 31-June 1 hearing on petitions from dairy producer organizations to revise the whey factor in California’s Class 4b milk pricing formula.

Western United Dairymen (WUD) and a coalition of groups representing about 80% of the milk produced in California – including California Dairies, Inc., Dairy Farmers of America, Land O’Lakes, Security Milk Producers Association, California Dairy Campaign, Alliance of Western Milk Producers, and Milk Producers Council – petitioned CDFA in early March. The producers groups asked that the Class 4b whey factor, last modified in September 2011, be adjusted to account for the higher value of dry whey, returning a larger portion of that value to dairy farmers. They said the formula used in California’s state milk marketing order created a large gap between California 4b and federal order Class III milk, both used to make cheese.

In reviewing hearing testimony and post-hearing documents, the hearing panel determined, “The current Class 4b pricing formula maintains a sound economic relationship between the state’s milk production and marketing conditions for manufactured dairy products. The panel recommends that no changes be made to the whey factor in the Class 4b pricing formula at this time.”

However, citing the negative impact of high feeds costs on dairy producer income, Ross increased the cap on the whey factor value in the Class 4b formula from 65¢/cwt. to 75¢/cwt., while maintaining the current floor of 25¢/cwt. For each 5¢ ‘step’ in the dry whey commodity price, the corresponding whey factor will increase in 6.25¢ increments. The effect of the new sliding scale is an increase in the Class 4b price of approximately 10¢/cwt. when the dry whey commodity market is at the upper end of the new scale (see below).

Dry whey sliding scale in the Class 4b pricing formula

Effective Aug. 1, 2012

 

DMN monthly average dry whey price          Whey factor in 4b formula

($/lb)                                                                     ($/cwt.)

< 0.25                                                                  0.25

? 0.25 and < 0.30                     0.3125

? 0.30 and < 0.35                                             0.375

? 0.35 and < 0.40                                             0.4375

? 0.40 and < 0.45                     0.5

? 0.45 and < 0.50                     0.5625

? 0.50 and < 0.55                     0.625

? 0.55 and < 0.60                     0.6875

? 0.60                                     0.75

In adjusting the whey factor, Ross said she recognized that processors have financial challenges of their own and that this action will increase their costs.

 

“But I believe this is an essential step to maintain the crucial balance between processors and producers while ensuring consumers have an affordable supply of milk,” Ross said. “Clearly, this is a smaller adjustment than requested by the petitioners, but to increase it more at this time will likely have a negative impact on other segments of the industry.”

 

Producers disappointed

The Milk Producers Council’s Rob Vandenheuvel expressed extreme disappointment over the recommendation and small whey factor increase in his organization’s weekly newsletter.

“To say the results were ‘disappointing’ doesn’t begin to capture the emotion felt on the producer side of the industry,” Vandenheuvel wrote.

Vandenheuvel said the current value for dry whey is approximately 49¢/lb. With the new sliding scale, effective Aug. 1, the market value of dry whey would add 6.25¢ to the Class 4b formula in August, compared to the current formula. With Class 4b accounting for approximately 40% of the milk in California’s “pool,” that 6.25¢ increase in the Class 4b price would equate to an increase of about 2.5¢/cwt. in the overall price paid to dairy producers.

“To understand why this decision was so frustrating, you have to look at why producers requested the hearing in the first place,” Vandenheuvel continued. “California law places the responsibility of establishing minimum prices for each of the five classes of milk on the Secretary of Agriculture. While California law gives the Secretary broad latitude in how he or she determines or calculates a price, the law is very specific that whatever price is ultimately determined, it shall be in a “reasonable and sound economic relationship” with what comparable milk is worth around the country.

Vandenheuvel said the Class 4b formula resulted in “state-sponsored discounting of milk.” He said the gap between California 4b and federal order Class III prices has been widening. In 2010, the Class 4b price averaged $1.24/cwt. below the Class III price. In 2011, that gap rose to $2/cwt., and in the first six months of 2012, the average difference was $2.08/cwt.

“These differences equate to a discount of hundreds of millions of dollars for California’s cheese manufacturers,” Vandenheuvel wrote.

Task force announced

Ross called the whey factor just a small piece of a much larger issue – the overall pricing structure for California milk and dairy products. To address the bigger issue, she announced creation of the California Dairy Future Task Force, which will be charged with developing recommendations for structural changes to California’s dairy pricing formulas and other milk marketing regulations.

She said the task force must develop solutions “to establish a more stable foundation to provide a bright future for California dairy families and processors. It is imperative that we all work together – processors, producers, cooperatives and the (CDFA) – to evaluate and resolve the critical issues facing the dairy industry. We must work together as one and not in factions.”

For more information, including the panel’s recommendation, visit http://cdfa.ca.gov/dairy/uploader/postings/hearings/.

NMPF Statement on House Child Labor Legislation Vote

ARLINGTON, VA – “We are heartened by the vote in the House of Representatives yesterday to pass the Preserving America’s Family Farms Act. This legislation, sponsored by Rep. Tom Latham (R-IA), and cosponsored by more than 90 other members, prohibits the Secretary of Labor from finalizing or enforcing such regulations in the future. This includes any effort, similar to what was made this year, to change the definition of the `parental exemption,’ change the student learner exemption, and significantly redefine what practices would be acceptable for youth under the age of 16 in which to participate.

“Even though the Department of Labor earlier this year withdrew its contentious proposed rule restricting the work that children could do on farms, NMPF remains concerned that the issue could surface again at some point in the future.

“Although the Obama Administration has said it won’t go down this path again, we want to be certain that subsequent administrations don’t attempt something similar, which is why this bill is needed. We continue to encourage the Labor Department to work with rural stakeholders to develop education programs to reduce accidents to young workers and promote safer agricultural working practices.”

The National Milk Producers Federation, based in Arlington, VA, develops and carries out policies that advance the well-being of dairy producers and the cooperatives they own. The members of NMPF’s 30 cooperatives produce the majority of the U.S. milk supply, making NMPF the voice of more than 32,000 dairy producers on Capitol Hill and with government agencies. Visit www.nmpf.org for more information.

NMPF Statement on House Child Labor Vote

ARLINGTON, VA – “We are heartened by the vote in the House of Representatives yesterday to pass the Preserving America’s Family Farms Act. This legislation, sponsored by Rep. Tom Latham (R-IA), and cosponsored by more than 90 other members, prohibits the Secretary of Labor from finalizing or enforcing such regulations in the future. This includes any effort, similar to what was made this year, to change the definition of the `parental exemption,’ change the student learner exemption, and significantly redefine what practices would be acceptable for youth under the age of 16 in which to participate.

“Even though the Department of Labor earlier this year withdrew its contentious proposed rule restricting the work that children could do on farms, NMPF remains concerned that the issue could surface again at some point in the future.

“Although the Obama Administration has said it won’t go down this path again, we want to be certain that subsequent administrations don’t attempt something similar, which is why this bill is needed. We continue to encourage the Labor Department to work with rural stakeholders to develop education programs to reduce accidents to young workers and promote safer agricultural working practices.”

The National Milk Producers Federation, based in Arlington, VA, develops and carries out policies that advance the well-being of dairy producers and the cooperatives they own. The members of NMPF’s 30 cooperatives produce the majority of the U.S. milk supply, making NMPF the voice of more than 32,000 dairy producers on Capitol Hill and with government agencies. Visit www.nmpf.org for more information.

Beef Checkoff With Randy Davis

(July 25, 2012) There is an importance and second side to the dairy industry – the beef industry. Randy Davis is a producer from Philadelphia, TN and discusses the highs and lows in the dairy business and how the beef checkoff helps.

Empire Farm Days Preview

(7/23/12)  Joel Hastings of Dairy Business Communications previews the upcoming Empire Farm Days.

Milk Production Growth Slows to a Crawl

(July 20, 2012) June 2012 U.S. cow numbers were down from May, and the increase in milk output per cow compared to a year earlier shrunk to less than one gallon, resulting in the smallest year-over-year gain in U.S. milk production since July 2011, according to USDA’s monthly Milk Production report.

June milk production in the 23 major dairy states totaled 15.54 billion lbs., up just 1.0% from June 2011. Milk cows were estimated at 8.507 million head, 57,000 head more than June 2011, but 14,000 less than May 2012. Production per cow averaged 1,827 lbs., up just 7 lbs. compared to June 2011.

Only three states had more cows in June compared to May: California, Colorado and Michigan, each up 1,000 head. Arizona (-6,000), New Mexico       (-4,000) and Washington (-3,000) had the largest month-to-month declines in cow numbers.

Compared to a year earlier, states with largest gains in cows were: California (+14,000); Michigan (+12,000); Colorado, Texas and Wisconsin (each up 6,000); and Indiana (+5,000). Pennsylvania (-6,000) had the largest decline in cow numbers compared to year ago.
Nationally, June milk production was estimated at 16,670 billion lbs., up just 0.9% from June 2011. Cow numbers totaled 9.241 million, up 45,000 from June 2011, but 19,000 less than May 2012. Milk per cow was 1,804 lbs., up 8 lbs. from a year earlier.

U.S. milk production during the April-June quarter totaled 51.48 billion pounds, up 2.0% from the same last year. The average number of cows during the quarter was 9.257 million head, 66,000 head more than the same period last year.

August Federal Order Class I Up $1.04

(July 20, 2012) The Agriculture Department announced the August Federal order Class I base milk price at $16.55 per hundredweight (cwt.), up $1.04 from July but $4.88 below a year ago. It equates to about $1.42 per gallon and raises the 2012 Class I average to $16.37, down from $18.91 at this time a year ago, and compares to $14.74 in 2010 and $10.95 in 2009. The University of Wisconsin’s Dr. Brian Gould predicts dairy producers will receive an MILC payment of about $1.2688 per cwt, based on July 18 data.

The AMS-surveyed butter price averaged $1.5246 per pound, up 14.8 cents from July. Nonfat dry milk averaged $1.1588, up 5.8 cents. Cheese averaged $1.6781, up 10.8 cents, and dry whey averaged 49.44 cents, down 1.1 cent.

Courtesy Mielke Market Weekly

U.S. Dairy Exports Continue to Grow in Global Importance

(July 20, 2012) While the domestic economy moves along at a lackluster pace, U.S. dairy exports continue to grow in global importance, adding much-needed support to dairy farmer prices. DairyProfit Weekly’s Dave Natzke reported on Friday’s DairyLine broadcast:
USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service released U.S. dairy export estimates for May, reporting monthly records in both volume and value. Boosted by continued strong sales of cheese, milk powder and whey products, the total dairy product export value topped $500 million (dollars) for the first time ever, and pushing fiscal year total exports to more than $3.5 billion (dollars), well ahead of the record pace set last year.
On a total solids basis (which includes butterfat, protein, lactose and minerals), May dairy exports were equivalent to 14.8% of total U.S. production during the month, the highest percentage since October 2010. Exports have been between 12% and 15% of total solids production for 26 straight months.
USDA also said U.S. dairy cattle exports rebounded after a slow spring. More than 5,000 female dairy cattle were exported in May, bringing the year-to-date (Y-T-D) total to nearly 20,600. Russia and Turkey are the leading buyers of U.S. dairy cattle. But, despite the May numbers, 2012 cattle exports trail last year’s record-setting pace by about 28%.
Back home, larger dairy farmers got some good news regarding environmental regulations. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency withdrew a proposed rule that would have required concentrated animal feeding operations, or CAFOs, to provide a long list of information, including longitude/latitude or street address of their farms, to be posted on a website database. Dairy and other livestock organizations feared the public list would make CAFOs an easier target for foreign and domestic terrorist groups.
EPA will now compile information necessary for environmental permits from other federal, state and local programs, without publishing specific locations.

Both Revenue and Expenses Expected to Increase

 

(July 17, 2012) Both dairy revenue and expenses are expected to increase at a parabolic rate, according to dairy market 360 advisor Matt Mattke with Stewart-Peterson Inc. 

The dairy cash and futures prices have shown some strength recently, but we are also expecting a rise in feed prices. Mattke provided DairyLine some details about the recent market activity in this podcast.

 

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